Free Play for February 6, 2012
1 Unit on DePaul +9.5 Bottom Line: Marquette isn't the same team on the road. It has lost 4 of its last 6 away from home and neither of those wins came by more than 7 points. Plus, DePaul is a perfect 7-0 ATS in home games when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 80%) over the last 2 seasons. It is actually defeating these foes by an average of 2.4 points. Motivated by an embarrassing 30-point loss at Marquette the last time these two faced off, expect the Blue Demons to give the Golden Eagles all they want and more tonight.
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I am drinking the Kool Aid here. This line stinks to high heaven and I should be looking for the rat in the mix here, but I cannot figure this line. Opened at +1.5 is is dropping, looks like a set up line, but I just cannot figure it. The Spurs have played the Griz twice this season and beat them by double digits, last one 10 points at Memphis. The Griz have dropped their last 2 games and the Spurs have ripped off 4 in a row including beating Oklahoma City. I realize the Spurs have absolutley stunk it up on the road this year, and do not have a great ATS trend in this series, but Memphis has Tony Allen out tonight at guard where they are thin already!
Tony Parker went off for 42 in his last game and the Spurs are better in the backcourt and THIS IS A WINNABLE ROAD GAME. I have this line at -4 on power ratings for the Spurs and I am getting a point here. Thats a 5 point5 overlay, and I cannot for the life of me figure this line, so I am taking the point here. Memphis has struggled to 88 ppg on offense their last 5 games and allowed 91. The Spurs are a better team and can score from the perimeter.
Free Play for 2/6/12
1 Unit on New Jersey Nets +9.5 The Key: The Bulls have lost 16 of their last 18 in New Jersey and are just 3-12 ATS in their last 15 road meetings in the series. The Nets are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following an ATS loss, 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games following a SU loss and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as an underdog. Bet the Nets.
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Monday Triple Pack has NBA Non Conference Total of the Month from 96% totals system + Double Perfect NBA System side and 26-2 NCAAB Power Angle Play. Sunday card goes 3-1 led by big 5* on the Giants and NCAAB Sweep. Top plays now on a 16-7 run. Free NBA System Side below.
On Monday the Free NBA System Play is on the Orlando Magic. Game 504 at 7:05 eastern. The Magic fit a solid system here that plays on home dogs of 4 or less with rest off a road dog win at +5 or more, vs an opponent off a win by 10 or more points. These home dogs are 23-5 ats. Another system which plays against the Clippers is to play against road favorites with a win percentage of less than .800 off a road favored win by 20 or more points and scored 105 or more points if our team scored less than 90 in their last game. These road favorites have failed to cover 22 of 29 times since 1990. Orlando has played much better in their last two games and should emerge with a win and cover here vs the Clippers. On Monday the Triple Pack has the NBA 96% Non conference total of the Month and a Double Perfect NBA Side system. In NCAAB Action its a solid 26-2 Power Angle play. Sunday card goes 3-1 led by 5* winner on the Giants and a 2-0 sweep in College hoops. Top plays on a 16-7 run. Start the week big. Jump on and cash out. For the free Play take The Orlando Magic. RV
FREE PLAY
1 Unit on Atlanta Hawks -7.5
Off back-to-back home losses to Memphis and Philadelphia, expect Atlanta to take out its frustration on a Phoenix team that has dropped 8 of 12 on the road.
The Hawks were 8-1 at home before their 2 recent setbacks so you can bet they'll be hungry here. As if those defeats alone don't provide enough incentive, the fact that Atlanta has lost 3 in a row to Phoenix will.
The Suns are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 road games, 2-9 ATS in their last 11 games as an underdog of 5.0-10.5 points and 0-6 ATS in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
The Hawks are 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a loss of more than 10 points, 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a losing record, 7-3-1 ATS in their last 11 games as a favorite of 5.0-10.5 points and 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games as a home favorite of 5.0-10.5 points. Take Atlanta.
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Phoenix is 22-7 SU overall vs Atlanta since 1996. Hawks are 5-12-1 ATS in their last 18 games playing on 1 days rest. Hawks are 6-16 ATS in their last 22 vs. Western Conference. Hawks are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 vs. NBA Pacific. Suns are 5-0 ATS in the last 5 meetings. Suns are 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings in Atlanta. Phoenix is 10-5 SU and ATS at Atlanta since 1996. We'll recommend a small play on Phoenix tonight! Thanks and good luck, Rocky
Rocketman Sports cashed easily yesterday with Underdog New Jersey +106 in the NHL. Rocketman is now 10-3 77% last 13 NHL plays and is documented #1 in the NHL this year and was #1 in the NHL last year! 10-2 83% last 12 overall picks all sports!
Teams tend to actually play well without their superstars for the first few games they are out. Amare Stoudemire won't be playing for New York tonight as he deals with the death of his brother. I look for the Knicks to put on an inspired effort to try and win this one for Stoudemire. Utah has been great at home this season, but terrible on the road. The Jazz are just 2-5 SU & 2-5 ATS in road games this year, getting outscored by 11.3 points/game. The Knicks are playing much better of late, going 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games overall. Home-court advantage has been huge in this series. The home team has won 10 of the last 11 meetings. Take the Knicks and lay the points.
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Off back-to-back bad losses, the Atlanta Hawks will be highly motivated for a win tonight when they host the lowly Phoenix Suns. I look for Atlanta to roll by double-digits behind an inspired effort.
Atlanta is still one of the best teams in the Eastern Conference at 16-8. Phoenix has become a bottom feeder in the Western Conference this season as they simply have not surrounded Steve Nash with enough talent. The Suns are 9-14 on the year, and they're getting outscored by 7.2 points/game on the road.
Phoenix is 9-25 ATS in their last 34 when playing 8 or more games in 14 days. The Suns are 0-8 ATS in their last 8 after 2 straight games where they were called for 18 or less fouls. The Suns are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. The Hawks are 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400. Bet Atlanta Monday.
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